公司治理对外部审计结果的预测能力研究
Research on External Auditing Result Prediction with the Aid of Corporate Governance
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摘要: 为检验公司治理对外部审计结果的预测能力,使用神经网络中的多层感知器方法,以2000~2007年所有A股上市公司为样本进行研究. 结果发现,公司治理指标对外部审计结果有预测能力,而且在公司治理对外部审计的预测能力中,流通股比例和第一大股东持股比例较为重要,国有股比例比较不重要. 其中,公司治理指标对审计意见类型和审计意见变更的预测能力较强,公司治理指标对审计进程预测能力较弱.Abstract: Using the neural network multilayer perceptron method,this paper studies the predictive ability of external auditing result for corporate governance based on the sample of list companies of A share stock market from the year of 2000 to 2007. The results show that the corporate governance can be used to predict the external auditing result. The proportion of circulate stock and the largest shareholders shares holdings are key factors,but shareholding proportion of state-owned of listed companies is less important. The corporate governance variables have more predicative ability for auditing option type and alternation,while are less predicative for auditing procedure.
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